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Economics · Simon Fraser University

Xinhao Dong

PhD candidate in Economics

Vancouver

Portrait of Xinhao Dong

About

Ideas about policy, people, and time.

I am Xinhao Dong (Jack), a PhD candidate in Economics at Simon Fraser University, supervised by Lucas Herrenbrueck. I study monetary transmission, household finance, and social protection.

My work combines empirical and theoretical approaches, with a focus on bank funding, revolving credit, the value of liquidity, and how public policy shapes family decisions in China.

Selected work

Research

I work across macroeconomics and finance, and household and social policy. Open a summary for an overview, or read the papers below.

Macroeconomics & Finance

Working paper · 2026

Deposit Pricing, Bank Funding Models, and the Incidence of Reserve Requirements

Earlier version: Financial Liberalization and the Effectiveness of Reserve Policy: Evidence from China’s 2015 Deposit Rate Reform

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Using quarterly data for Chinese banks from 2008 to 2024, I compare the relationship between banks’ pre-reform deposit mix, reserve requirements, and market funding across pricing regimes. Among joint-stock banks, the fitted funding gradient falls from 1.144 to −0.024 percentage points per percentage-point increase in the reserve ratio. Limited common support and sensitivity to exposure trends prevent a causal interpretation of that regime difference.

Working paper · 2026

Urgency, Liquidity, and the Price of Convenience

With Lucas Herrenbrueck and Zijian Wang

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We distinguish the urgency of spending needs from the liquidity services of assets using Treasury bills, commercial paper, and AAA corporate bonds. Our headline estimate puts the annual price of convenience at 5.5%, far above conventional spread measures; only about 23% of it is attributable to urgency.

Working paper · 2026

Existing Commitments, New Credit, and Monetary Policy

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Credit-card lines are commitments authorized before households use them. In U.S. large-bank data, monetary tightening lowers initial limits on new accounts relative to limits on open accounts, while total commitments and the number of open accounts do not decline. New authorizations are a small share of committed credit, so this margin changes the stock slowly. A household financing framework shows why removing credit at origination can reduce spending more than withdrawing the same amount from existing lines.

Households & Social Protection

Working paper · 2026

Who Gets Protection? Interprovincial Inequality in Social Protection after Land Expropriation in China

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Using CHIP 2013 and 2018 data on 2,239 land-expropriated households in 15 provinces, I study how reported compensation form varies across provinces and expropriation cohorts. Before 2008, moving from the 25th to the 75th percentile of provincial fiscal pressure was associated with a 20 percentage-point lower probability of any continuing protection and a 17–19 percentage-point higher probability of cash only. These relationships are markedly weaker from 2008 onward, although imprecisely estimated. Across twelve consistently observed provinces, gaps in compensation form narrowed by about 38 percent.

Working paper · 2026

Pensions, Migration, and Three-Generation Family Reorganization

With Yang Li

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Using age-60 eligibility around China’s 2016 pension reform, we find that pension access raises grandchild care by 8.2 percentage points. Grandchildren then spend fewer months with their parents, while complete paternal absence falls and shorter, more returnable work trips become more common. Remittances from pension recipients to adult children also decline, consistent with a shift in how families provide informal support.

Interdisciplinary Research

Working paper · 2026

Strategic Obfuscation against Adaptive Censorship: Equilibrium Blocking and Dynamic Implementability

With Yuqi Hu

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We model costly traffic obfuscation and an adaptive censor’s blocking decision jointly. Exact unilateral best responses determine which obfuscation–blocking targets can survive repeated interaction; a common shortcut that checks only complete abandonment of obfuscation can misclassify whether a target is sustainable. A public-signal extension shows how missed detections and false alarms tighten these conditions.

Work in Progress

Work in progress

State or Type? Revolving Debt and Household Payment Choice

Examines whether the gap in credit-card use between revolvers and nonrevolvers reflects current debt state or persistent household payment preferences.

Work in progress

The Structure and Selective Compression of Central-Bank Information: Evidence from PBoC Reports and Professional Intermediaries

Studies how policy information in central-bank reports is selected and represented by professional intermediaries.

Dormant project

Pension Promises, Fertility, and Debt Sustainability. A paused project on how pension promises and endogenous fertility interact with public-debt dynamics.

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Away from the desk

Small worlds, held still.

A personal collection of flowers, birds, light, and the quiet details found between destinations.

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Background

Education, research, and teaching.

Education

  • PhD in EconomicsSimon Fraser University · 2023–Present
  • MA in EconomicsSimon Fraser University · 2022–2023
  • BA in Mathematics & EconomicsUniversity of British Columbia · 2018–2021

Experience

  • Research AssistantSimon Fraser University · 2023–Present
  • Research AssistantUBC Vancouver School of Economics · 2020
  • Teaching AssistantSimon Fraser University · 2022–Present
  • Languages & toolsMandarin, English · R, Stata, Python, LaTeX